Leeds vs Coventry — prediction & result
Leeds vs Coventry — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Leeds 49%, draw 31%, Coventry 20%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (21%), 0-0 (17%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 48.9% chance, the draw 31.3% and the away side 19.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 72% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 12% with both teams scoring at 30% (expected goals 1.11 vs 0.59).
Premier League · Leeds · Coventry · Today's matches