FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva — prediction & result
FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T10:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: FC Orenburg 60%, draw 24%, Rodina Moskva 16%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (17%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 60.3% chance, the draw 24.2% and the away side 15.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 60% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% with both teams scoring at 38% (expected goals 1.59 vs 0.66).
FC Orenburg · Rodina Moskva · Today's matches