Bristol City vs Wrexham — prediction & result
Bristol City vs Wrexham — Championship.
Kick-off: 2026-11-24T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Bristol City 37%, draw 33%, Wrexham 30%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (17%), 1-0 (17%), 0-1 (15%).
The model gives the home side a 37.3% chance, the draw 32.8% and the away side 29.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 69% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 11% with both teams scoring at 33% (expected goals 0.92 vs 0.79).
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