Northampton vs Oldham — prediction & result
Northampton vs Oldham — League Two.
Kick-off: 2026-11-03T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Northampton 32%, draw 31%, Oldham 38%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 31.6% chance, the draw 30.6% and the away side 37.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% with both teams scoring at 49% (expected goals 1.11 vs 1.27).
League Two · Northampton · Oldham · Today's matches