Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis — prediction & result
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis — Super League 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-23T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Asteras Tripolis 42%, draw 28%, Aris Thessalonikis 31%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 41.7% chance, the draw 27.6% and the away side 30.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 55% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 20% with both teams scoring at 46% (expected goals 1.25 vs 1.02).
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