Sudtirol vs Mantova — prediction & result
Sudtirol vs Mantova — Serie B.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T14:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Sudtirol 22%, draw 32%, Mantova 46%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (20%), 0-0 (17%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 22.3% chance, the draw 31.7% and the away side 46.0% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 71% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 12% with both teams scoring at 31% (expected goals 0.65 vs 1.07).
Serie B · Sudtirol · Mantova · Today's matches