Al Ain vs Esteghlal FC — prediction & result
Al Ain vs Esteghlal FC — AFC Champions League Elite.
Kick-off: 2026-11-23T16:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Al Ain 45%, draw 31%, Esteghlal FC 24%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (19%), 0-0 (16%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 45.0% chance, the draw 31.2% and the away side 23.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 69% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 13% with both teams scoring at 33% (expected goals 1.08 vs 0.70).
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