Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven — prediction & result

Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven — UEFA Champions League.

Kick-off: 2026-11-24T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.

Model probabilities: Real Madrid 37%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 38%.

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%).

The model gives the home side a 37.1% chance, the draw 24.7% and the away side 38.2% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.

Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 46% of outcomes.

Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% with both teams scoring at 57% (expected goals 1.40 vs 1.42).

Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven