Sporting CP vs Manchester United — prediction & result
Sporting CP vs Manchester United — UEFA Champions League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-25T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Sporting CP 44%, draw 27%, Manchester United 30%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 43.8% chance, the draw 26.7% and the away side 29.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 23% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.34 vs 1.05).
UEFA Champions League · Sporting CP · Manchester United · Today's matches