Sunderland vs Jagiellonia — prediction & result
Sunderland vs Jagiellonia — UEFA Europa League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Sunderland 19%, draw 33%, Jagiellonia 48%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (22%), 0-0 (21%), 1-0 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 19.1% chance, the draw 33.3% and the away side 47.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 77% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 10% with both teams scoring at 26% (expected goals 0.53 vs 1.01).
UEFA Europa League · Sunderland · Jagiellonia · Today's matches