Uruguay vs Dominican Republic — prediction & result
Uruguay vs Dominican Republic — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-17T23:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Uruguay 43%, draw 32%, Dominican Republic 24%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (15%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 43.3% chance, the draw 32.3% and the away side 24.4% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 42% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% with both teams scoring at 62% (expected goals 1.67 vs 1.42).
Uruguay · Dominican Republic · Today's matches