Bahia vs Atletico-MG — prediction & result
Bahia vs Atletico-MG — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Bahia 37%, draw 27%, Atletico-MG 36%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 36.9% chance, the draw 27.1% and the away side 36.0% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.20 vs 1.18).
Brasileirão Serie A · Bahia · Atletico-MG · Today's matches