MVV vs Jong PSV — prediction & result
MVV vs Jong PSV — Eerste Divisie.
Kick-off: 2026-11-27T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: MVV 28%, draw 31%, Jong PSV 41%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (16%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 28.0% chance, the draw 30.6% and the away side 41.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 65% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 14% with both teams scoring at 37% (expected goals 0.82 vs 1.07).
MVV · Jong PSV · Today's matches