Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht — prediction & result
Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht — Eerste Divisie.
Kick-off: 2026-12-04T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Helmond Sport 49%, draw 23%, Jong Utrecht 27%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 49.2% chance, the draw 23.4% and the away side 27.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 45% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% with both teams scoring at 58% (expected goals 1.72 vs 1.22).
Helmond Sport · Jong Utrecht · Today's matches