Walsall vs Northampton — prediction & result
Walsall vs Northampton — League Two.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Walsall 38%, draw 29%, Northampton 33%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 38.5% chance, the draw 28.6% and the away side 32.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 57% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 18% with both teams scoring at 43% (expected goals 1.13 vs 1.02).
League Two · Walsall · Northampton · Today's matches