Stoke City vs Millwall — prediction & result
Stoke City vs Millwall — Championship.
Kick-off: 2026-11-25T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Stoke City 36%, draw 27%, Millwall 37%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 35.9% chance, the draw 27.3% and the away side 36.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 53% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.16 vs 1.18).
Championship · Stoke City · Millwall · Today's matches