SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United — prediction & result
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United — AFC Champions League Elite.
Kick-off: 2026-11-24T12:15:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: SHANGHAI SIPG 40%, draw 35%, Buriram United 26%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (20%), 1-0 (19%), 0-1 (14%).
The model gives the home side a 39.7% chance, the draw 34.6% and the away side 25.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 75% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 9% with both teams scoring at 28% (expected goals 0.89 vs 0.65).
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