Como vs AEK Athens FC — prediction & result
Como vs AEK Athens FC — UEFA Champions League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-24T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Como 52%, draw 30%, AEK Athens FC 18%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (20%), 0-0 (16%), 2-0 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 52.0% chance, the draw 29.7% and the away side 18.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 70% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 14% with both teams scoring at 31% (expected goals 1.21 vs 0.59).
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