Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano — prediction & result
Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T16:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Real Betis 53%, draw 23%, Rayo Vallecano 23%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 53.5% chance, the draw 23.4% and the away side 23.2% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 48% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% with both teams scoring at 53% (expected goals 1.72 vs 1.04).
La Liga · Real Betis · Rayo Vallecano · Today's matches