Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense — prediction & result
Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Mirassol 39%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 34%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 39.3% chance, the draw 27.0% and the away side 33.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.25 vs 1.13).
Brasileirão Serie A · Mirassol · Atletico Paranaense · Today's matches