Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland — A-League.
Kick-off: 2026-10-24T06:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers 38%, draw 26%, Auckland 36%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 38.3% chance, the draw 25.6% and the away side 36.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 46% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% with both teams scoring at 57% (expected goals 1.42 vs 1.37).
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