Northampton vs Fleetwood Town — prediction & result
Northampton vs Fleetwood Town — League Two.
Kick-off: 2026-12-01T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Northampton 25%, draw 29%, Fleetwood Town 46%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (16%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 25.4% chance, the draw 28.6% and the away side 45.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 61% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 17% with both teams scoring at 40% (expected goals 0.83 vs 1.23).
League Two · Northampton · Fleetwood Town · Today's matches