Vitória SC vs Estrela — prediction & result
Vitória SC vs Estrela — Primeira Liga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T20:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Vitória SC 70%, draw 20%, Estrela 11%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 69.6% chance, the draw 19.7% and the away side 10.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 59% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% with both teams scoring at 39% (expected goals 1.95 vs 0.60).
Primeira Liga · Vitória SC · Estrela · Today's matches