England U18 vs Norway U19 — prediction & result
England U18 vs Norway U19 — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-14T11:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: England U18 40%, draw 24%, Norway U19 36%.
Most likely scorelines: 5-4+ (9%), 4-4 (8%), 5-5+ (8%).
The model gives the home side a 40.0% chance, the draw 24.3% and the away side 35.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 4:4 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 39% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 100% with both teams scoring at 99% (expected goals 5.00 vs 5.00).
England U18 · Norway U19 · Today's matches