Galatasaray vs Aston Villa — prediction & result
Galatasaray vs Aston Villa — UEFA Champions League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-24T17:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Galatasaray 30%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 44%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 30.4% chance, the draw 25.4% and the away side 44.2% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 48% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% with both teams scoring at 52% (expected goals 1.16 vs 1.46).
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