Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC — prediction & result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC — K League 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-22T05:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 23%, draw 27%, Jeju United FC 51%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 22.9% chance, the draw 26.6% and the away side 50.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 57% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 21% with both teams scoring at 43% (expected goals 0.84 vs 1.40).
K League 1 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC · Jeju United FC · Today's matches