Luton vs Oxford United — prediction & result
Luton vs Oxford United — League One.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Luton 46%, draw 26%, Oxford United 28%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 46.1% chance, the draw 26.4% and the away side 27.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 23% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.39 vs 1.00).
League One · Luton · Oxford United · Today's matches