Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria — prediction & result
Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Vasco DA Gama 60%, draw 24%, Vitoria 17%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 59.7% chance, the draw 23.7% and the away side 16.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 57% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 26% with both teams scoring at 42% (expected goals 1.65 vs 0.73).
Brasileirão Serie A · Vasco DA Gama · Vitoria · Today's matches