Krylya Sovetov vs FC Orenburg — prediction & result
Krylya Sovetov vs FC Orenburg — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-08T11:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Krylya Sovetov 44%, draw 26%, FC Orenburg 29%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 44.3% chance, the draw 26.3% and the away side 29.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 51% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% with both teams scoring at 49% (expected goals 1.38 vs 1.06).
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