Morocco vs Niger — prediction & result
Morocco vs Niger — Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
Kick-off: 2026-11-11T17:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Morocco 86%, draw 9%, Niger 5%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (19%), 2-0 (19%), 3-0 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 86.3% chance, the draw 9.0% and the away side 4.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 59% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% with both teams scoring at 39% (expected goals 1.97 vs 0.60).
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