Cagliari vs AC Milan — prediction & result
Cagliari vs AC Milan — Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T17:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Cagliari 27%, draw 32%, AC Milan 42%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (18%), 0-0 (16%), 1-0 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 26.6% chance, the draw 31.8% and the away side 41.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 69% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 12% with both teams scoring at 34% (expected goals 0.75 vs 1.01).
Serie A · Cagliari · AC Milan · Today's matches