Dordrecht vs NAC Breda — prediction & result
Dordrecht vs NAC Breda — Eerste Divisie.
Kick-off: 2026-11-06T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Dordrecht 16%, draw 20%, NAC Breda 64%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 16.5% chance, the draw 19.9% and the away side 63.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:2 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 48% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% with both teams scoring at 54% (expected goals 0.95 vs 2.11).
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