PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar — prediction & result
PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar — Eredivisie.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T15:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 25%, AZ Alkmaar 60%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (18%), 0-2 (14%), 0-0 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 15.5% chance, the draw 24.9% and the away side 59.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 62% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 37% (expected goals 0.63 vs 1.53).
Eredivisie · PEC Zwolle · AZ Alkmaar · Today's matches