Le Mans vs Lille — prediction & result
Le Mans vs Lille — Ligue 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Le Mans 25%, draw 31%, Lille 44%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (18%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 25.3% chance, the draw 30.6% and the away side 44.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 67% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 14% with both teams scoring at 35% (expected goals 0.75 vs 1.10).
Ligue 1 · Le Mans · Lille · Today's matches