West Ham vs Stoke City — prediction & result
West Ham vs Stoke City — Championship.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: West Ham 68%, draw 19%, Stoke City 14%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 67.5% chance, the draw 18.9% and the away side 13.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 51% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% with both teams scoring at 50% (expected goals 2.16 vs 0.83).
Championship · West Ham · Stoke City · Today's matches