Benfica vs Famalicao — prediction & result
Benfica vs Famalicao — Primeira Liga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-30T20:15:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Benfica 52%, draw 23%, Famalicao 25%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 52.3% chance, the draw 22.9% and the away side 24.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 45% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% with both teams scoring at 57% (expected goals 1.79 vs 1.15).
Primeira Liga · Benfica · Famalicao · Today's matches