Catanzaro vs Avellino — prediction & result
Catanzaro vs Avellino — Serie B.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T14:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Catanzaro 43%, draw 26%, Avellino 32%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 42.6% chance, the draw 25.7% and the away side 31.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 49% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 26% with both teams scoring at 52% (expected goals 1.40 vs 1.17).
Serie B · Catanzaro · Avellino · Today's matches