Villarreal vs Getafe — prediction & result
Villarreal vs Getafe — La Liga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-08T17:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Villarreal 63%, draw 24%, Getafe 14%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (18%), 2-0 (15%), 0-0 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 62.7% chance, the draw 23.6% and the away side 13.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 62% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% with both teams scoring at 36% (expected goals 1.62 vs 0.60).
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