Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo — prediction & result
Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Atletico Paranaense 56%, draw 27%, Sao Paulo 17%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (19%), 2-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 56.3% chance, the draw 26.8% and the away side 16.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 64% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 19% with both teams scoring at 35% (expected goals 1.39 vs 0.62).
Brasileirão Serie A · Atletico Paranaense · Sao Paulo · Today's matches