Lecce vs Atalanta — prediction & result
Lecce vs Atalanta — Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T17:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Lecce 20%, draw 24%, Atalanta 55%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 20.3% chance, the draw 24.3% and the away side 55.4% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 54% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 26% with both teams scoring at 46% (expected goals 0.86 vs 1.61).
Serie A · Lecce · Atalanta · Today's matches