Auxerre vs Marseille — prediction & result
Auxerre vs Marseille — Ligue 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T14:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Auxerre 49%, draw 29%, Marseille 22%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (18%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 48.9% chance, the draw 29.0% and the away side 22.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 65% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% with both teams scoring at 36% (expected goals 1.23 vs 0.72).
Ligue 1 · Auxerre · Marseille · Today's matches