Charlton vs Lincoln — prediction & result
Charlton vs Lincoln — Championship.
Kick-off: 2026-11-24T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Charlton 21%, draw 30%, Lincoln 50%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (19%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 20.6% chance, the draw 29.8% and the away side 49.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 68% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 14% with both teams scoring at 33% (expected goals 0.65 vs 1.19).
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