Heart Of Midlothian vs Monaco — prediction & result
Heart Of Midlothian vs Monaco — UEFA Europa Conference League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T17:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Heart Of Midlothian 54%, draw 22%, Monaco 24%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 54.1% chance, the draw 21.9% and the away side 23.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 43% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% with both teams scoring at 60% (expected goals 1.93 vs 1.20).
UEFA Europa Conference League · Heart Of Midlothian · Monaco · Today's matches