Kauno Žalgiris vs Riga — prediction & result
Kauno Žalgiris vs Riga — UEFA Europa Conference League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T17:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Kauno Žalgiris 24%, draw 33%, Riga 43%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (19%), 0-0 (18%), 1-0 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 24.3% chance, the draw 32.6% and the away side 43.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 72% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 11% with both teams scoring at 31% (expected goals 0.67 vs 1.00).
UEFA Europa Conference League · Kauno Žalgiris · Riga · Today's matches