Kara-Balta vs Alay — prediction & result
Kara-Balta vs Alay — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-10-28T13:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Kara-Balta 12%, draw 18%, Alay 71%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 11.6% chance, the draw 17.9% and the away side 70.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:2 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 53% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% with both teams scoring at 47% (expected goals 0.75 vs 2.22).
Kara-Balta · Alay · Today's matches