Qatar vs South Korea — prediction & result
Qatar vs South Korea — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-17T14:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Qatar 37%, draw 47%, South Korea 16%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (39%), 1-0 (25%), 0-1 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 37.0% chance, the draw 47.0% and the away side 16.0% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 92% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 3% with both teams scoring at 12% (expected goals 0.60 vs 0.30).
Qatar · South Korea · Today's matches