Bahrain vs Yemen — prediction & result
Bahrain vs Yemen — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-14T06:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Bahrain 39%, draw 22%, Yemen 38%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (34%), 1-0 (30%), 0-0 (21%).
The model gives the home side a 39.2% chance, the draw 22.5% and the away side 38.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 97% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 2% with both teams scoring at 5% (expected goals 0.45 vs 0.15).
Bahrain · Yemen · Today's matches