Palestine vs Iran — prediction & result
Palestine vs Iran — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-14T13:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Palestine 41%, draw 18%, Iran 41%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 40.9% chance, the draw 18.1% and the away side 40.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 44% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% with both teams scoring at 59% (expected goals 1.54 vs 1.39).
Palestine · Iran · Today's matches