AEK Athens FC vs PAOK — prediction & result
AEK Athens FC vs PAOK — Super League 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: AEK Athens FC 83%, draw 11%, PAOK 6%.
Most likely scorelines: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 82.7% chance, the draw 11.4% and the away side 5.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 3:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 51% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 3.06 vs 0.69).
AEK Athens FC · PAOK · Today's matches