Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe — prediction & result
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe — UEFA Champions League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-25T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Shakhtar Donetsk 30%, draw 28%, Fenerbahçe 42%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 30.3% chance, the draw 27.7% and the away side 42.0% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 55% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 20% with both teams scoring at 45% (expected goals 1.01 vs 1.25).
UEFA Champions League · Shakhtar Donetsk · Fenerbahçe · Today's matches